Tuesday 24 December 2013


World markets rise on eased China credit worry


SEOUL, South Korea - World markets extended gains Tuesday on eased concerns about a cash crunch in China and continued optimism over the U.S. economy.

Trading volumes remained light a day ahead of Christmas. Asian stocks advanced amid a drop in the Chinese interest rate charged on loans from one bank to another. A spike in rates on Chinese bank-to-bank lending earlier this week stirred anxiety among investors that the cash shortage could force banks to restrain commercial lending and pressure the world's second-largest economy.

After the People's Bank of China took another measure of injecting 29 billion yuan ($4.8 billion) on Tuesday, the rate banks pay each other for an overnight loan had eased to a 4.1 percent. The rate for a one-week loan dropped to 6.2 percent.

Tokyo's Nikkei 225 index inched up 0.1 percent to 15,889.33, after surpassing the 16,000 level for the first time in six years in the morning session. China's Shanghai Composite added 0.2 percent to 2,092.91. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index gained 1.1 percent to 23,179.55.

In Hong Kong, stocks of China Mobile Ltd. rose 0.5 percent boosted by its deal to sell iPhones in China. South Korea's benchmark Kospi gained 0.2 percent to 2,001.59. Shares in Singapore, Australia and New Zealand also rose.

In early trading in Europe, Britain's FTSE 100 index was up 1.1 percent to 6,678.61, while France's CAC 40 edged up 0.2 percent to 4,222.80. The German stock market was closed. U.S. stocks appeared set for a modest gain with Dow futures up 0.03 percent.

The broader S&P 500 index futures stayed unmoved. Stock markets enjoyed a strong run over the past few days as investors cheered data showing that the U.S. economic recovery is gaining strength. Positive economic figures on the world's largest economy helped ease concerns about the impact on emerging markets from the Federal Reserve's scaling back of its stimulus programs.

A batch of upbeat reports on the U.S. economy strengthened optimism one day before Christmas. International Monetary Fund chief Christine Lagarde said the Washington-based institution would raise its 2014 U.S. growth forecast from the current estimate of 2.5 percent, citing more certainty in 2014. Her remarks came after Friday data showed the U.S. grew at an annualized rate of 4.1 percent in the third quarter of the year, up from the previous estimate of 3.6 percent.

In data released Monday, the U.S. Commerce Department said consumer spending rose 0.5 percent in November, supporting the view that American consumers may be making a comeback.

Stock markets have largely held their own despite tensions in China's credit markets. Chinese banks turned to money markets in recent weeks for extra cash found less than usual, setting off a bidding war that pushed up interest rates. Analysts said the main reason why interbank lending rates have gone up is that Chinese banks are building up their cash reserves in order to meet tighter regulatory requirements.

The increase has also come as the Fed has ended months of speculation and begun "tapering" its stimulus. For now, most analysts don't think it's a major cause for concern, but developments in China's credit matters will be monitored carefully over the coming days and weeks.

In the currency markets, the euro was 0.2 percent weaker at $1.3676 while the dollar inched up 0.1 percent to 104.25 yen. In the oil markets, a barrel of benchmark crude was 41 cents lower at $98.91. 

Equities up, aided by U.S. manufacturing data; dollar higher

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange shortly after the market opening December 19, 2013. REUTERS-Lucas Jackson
1 OF 5. Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange shortly after the market opening December 19, 2013.
CREDIT: REUTERS/LUCAS JACKSON
(Reuters) - U.S. shares edged higher into record territory on Tuesday, backed by stronger-than-expected manufacturing data that in turn spurred U.S. Treasury yields to 2-1/2 year highs on a belief the economy is on a sustained path of recovery.
In thin pre-Christmas holiday trading, the positive economic data contributed to gains for the U.S. dollar against its major trading partners such as the euro zone and Japan.
An errant trade sent copper prices to their highest level since April in New York COMEX trade, a source familiar with the matter told Reuters. Prices were adjusted down after the discovery of the error, the source said.
U.S. share prices posted modest gains. The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI rose 62.94 points or 0.39 percent, to close at a record 16,357.55. The S&P 500 .SPX gained 5.33 points or 0.29 percent, to hit a record 1,833.32. The Nasdaq Composite .IXICadded 6.513 points or 0.16 percent, to finish at 4,155.417. The U.S. stock markets closed early at 1 p.m. EST. 
"Investors have taken their positions for the year, so what we're seeing                                               is a market pause to digest the very strong rally we've had," said Adam                                              Sarhan, chief executive of Sarhan Capital in New York.
U.S. durable goods orders for November surged 3.5 percent on rising demand for goods across a spectrum of industries, from aircraft to machinery and computers and electronic products.
In a second report, government data showed November new home sales fell from a five-year high, dropping by 2.1 percent. However, October's sales were revised to their highest level since July 2008.
The stronger economic data supports the U.S. Federal Reserve's decision last week to start trimming its monthly bond purchases as the economy might be gathering more upward momentum into early 2014.
"The path of least resistance right now is lower bond prices and higher yields," said John Brady, managing director of interest rate futures sales at R.J. O'Brien and Associates in Chicago.
In thin trade, the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury bond fell 13/32 of a point in price, driving the yield up to 2.98 percent and just shy of a 2-1/2 year high. <US/>
ASIAN AND EUROPEAN SHARES RISE
Japanese equity prices hit a six-year closing high of 15,889.33 .N225, putting the Nikkei on track for its best year since 1972.
Shares in Shanghai .SSEC closed with modest gains, with an early rise cut down by weak banking stocks.
The People's Bank of China injected funds through normal channels for the first time in three weeks, although traders warned that conditions remained tense.
"The relief is quite palpable after the cash injection by the PBOC today," said Jackson Wong, Tanrich Securities vice-president for equity sales.
Much of Europe's stock markets were closed ahead of the holiday. The euro zone blue chip Euro STOXX 50 .STOXX50E rose 0.06 percent on Tuesday but rose 4.5 percent in the five days leading into the Christmas break. That's the best week before the holiday since 1999, Thomson Reuters data showed.
In the currency markets, the U.S. dollar index .DXY, a measure of the greenback's value against a basket of six currencies, rose 0.09 percent to 80.531 in thin trading. The euro fell 0.17 percent to $1.3673.
GOLD SET FOR BIGGEST ANNUAL LOSS IN 32 YEARS
Gold edged higher as bargain hunters appeared after prices fell to six-month lows of around $1,200 an ounce. U.S. gold futures' benchmark February contract settled up 0.5 percent at $1,203.30.
However, the improving global economic environment, coupled with a rally on world stock markets, has driven investors away from traditional safe-haven assets such as gold. For the year, gold is down 28 percent and set for its biggest annual decline in 32 years.
In the oil markets, civil unrest in South Sudan pushed Brent crude $112 a barrel. U.S. oil futures rose 0.26 percent to $99.17 a barrel.
More From Reuters

Freeing the Global Market: How to Boost the Economy by Curbing Regulatory Distortions

A CFR Working Paper

Author: Shanker A. Singham, Partner, Squire Sanders

Freeing the Global Market: How to Boost the Economy by Curbing Regulatory Distortions - freeing-the-global-market-how-to-boost-the-economy-by-curbing-regulatory-distortions
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Overview

See CFR Senior Fellow and Renewing America Director Edward Alden's accompanying blog post here.
One of the most worrisome trends in international trade is the growing use of government-imposed anticompetitive market distortions (ACMDs) in advanced developing countries. The distortions harm some of the most valuable U.S. export interests and the welfare of consumers in the countries where they exist. Shanker Singham details the scale of the ACMD problem and a strategy for the United States to combat them.